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Tory revolt over ‘more restrictions on people’s liberty’ »

Boris Johnson stated at a Downing Street press briefing that the brand new restrictions had been important

English mother and father are threatening to disregard the brand new ‘rule of six’ after Nicola Sturgeon exempted youngsters from the same ban in Scotland.  

Boris Johnson now faces a Tory backlash after the Scottish First Minister copied his restrictions – however with the essential distinction that youngsters beneath 12 could be exempt.

Ms Sturgeon introduced there could be a most of six individuals for social teams – however gave potential hope for household gatherings and Christmas celebrations by excluding youngsters beneath 12 from the restrict.

A backlash to the plans was gathering tempo at the moment, with Conservative MPs warning that the restrictions may be ‘worse than the illness itself’, condemning the ‘broad brush’ method and sad that there has not been any scrutiny in Parliament. 

The new restrictions have additionally drawn the ire of fogeys, a few of whom say the plans make little sense with youngsters already again at school.

Some say they may settle for no matter wonderful comes their method, refusing to let the PM ‘damage Christmas’.  

There are fears inside his celebration that Mr Johnson may be seen because the ‘Grinch’ if the block on households spending time collectively continues to be in place for the festive season.

Tory MP Steve Baker instructed MailOnline: ‘I doubt the federal government’s measures can lengthy endure when it’s changing into clear that they’re disproportionate.’ 

David Jones MP stated: ‘I can perceive that the Government has to do one thing, as a result of there’s definitely an uptick. But it isn’t an uptick throughout the nation as a complete. There are some components of the nation akin to Devon, Dorset the place there’s little or no virus exercise in any respect.

‘So it does appear to be very broad brush… I’d have thought one thing extra concentrated could be higher.’

He added that whereas crowded pubs had been ‘asking for hassle’ it was ‘not one thing that seems to be uniform throughout the nation’. 

‘Something extra targeted could be acceptable,’ he stated.

Parents have additionally voiced concern over the brand new measures. Mother-of-three Laura Cole, 32, stated she had ‘little doubt’ that the exemption for kids needs to be launched in England. 

‘The faculties have been allowed to open once more and the colleges are all collectively so I really feel it is slightly irrelevant the kids have been included on this,’ Mrs Cole instructed MailOnline. 

She added: ‘The starting of lockdown it was straightforward to elucidate to [the children] you could not exit.

‘Now they’re again in school once more with their 12 months group bubbles, making an attempt to elucidate to them you may’t go to the park after college once more with buddies, we’re not going to have the ability to.’

Mrs Cole, whose youngsters are aged 14, 10 and seven, stated that the brand new guidelines would particularly hamper the lives of the younger, including that Scotland’s exemption for these beneath 12 was a ‘sensible concept’. 

The charge of an infection per 100,000 individuals within the UK has remained very low amongst youthful youngsters, regardless of rising amongst youngsters and younger adults 

Slides introduced on the press convention final present that younger adults are driving the rise in Covid circumstances – however the incidence amongst younger youngsters and the older technology stays very low

Mrs Cole stated: ‘My son, he is 14, he meets up on the way in which to highschool with a gaggle of individuals… is he not going to have the ability to do this now?’

Speaking of the approaching festive season, Mrs Cole stated: ‘Christmas is a time for household. Both be and my husband have gotten very large household.’

Belgium exempted U-12s from its Covid crackdown 

Ministers have praised Belgium for curbing a second wave of coronavirus by limiting the quantity of people that can socialise collectively and imposing curfews.

The European nation skilled a resurgence of the virus in mid-July that was akin to the UK’s present trajectory.

On July 29, officers there introduced in new guidelines lowering the scale of social ‘bubbles’ so that every household might solely have 5 mounted contacts. 

However, under-12s weren’t included within the numbers. 

The metropolis of Antwerp, the worst hit within the nation, introduced in a curfew on the finish of July that each member of the general public have to be dwelling between 11.30am and 6am.

In mid-August the curfew interval was eased to 1.30am to 5am. 

There is a restrict of 4 individuals sitting at a desk collectively in eating places, until they’re from the identical family. 

Plans to reopen nightclubs and main occasions have additionally been put on maintain. 

In Brussels, carrying a face masks grew to become obligatory in all public areas on 12 August.

Police have additionally been implementing the principles extra strictly.

Coronavirus infections began to rise in Belgium in mid-July, with the weekly case charge going over 35 per 100,000 by August- the extent at present being felt in Britain – and day by day infections breaching 1,000. 

The numbers have fallen over current weeks, with solely 194 new circumstances reported on September 1. 

Alluding to the six individual restrict, she stated that, as a household of 5, they’d solely be capable of host one relative at a time.  

She stated: ‘We’re not going to have my father-in-law together with his spouse… how are we going to handle that?’ 

‘We’re nonetheless going to see these individuals however in all probability one after the other.

When requested if she although individuals will stick to those guidelines, Mrs Cole stated: ‘Absolutely not.’

‘I’m not taking significance away from the truth that it is a very harmful virus and it’s killing individuals.’

She added: ‘I feel it is going to be a rule damaged by all, particularly on Christmas Day, if not earlier than.’

Others have voiced their disapproval for the brand new coverage on social media. One commenter stated: ‘Why ought to youngsters depend, they’re all at school in teams greater than six.’

Another stated: ‘Makes much more sense to me to not embody youngsters beneath 12 from ”Rule of 6” when already going to highschool?’

A 3rd stated: ‘Boris is killing the economic system. At least youngsters beneath 12 not included in Scotland. Madness to incorporate beneath 12s in England.’

The developments got here because it emerged greater than two thirds of individuals in England are being pressured into stricter coronavirus guidelines from Monday regardless of dwelling in comparatively unaffected areas.

Around 38million residents will probably be lumped into lockdown because the nation is instructed to ‘restrict social contact’ and face fines or police motion in the event that they meet in teams of greater than six individuals.

Speaking at Holyrood, Ms Sturgeon stated the Scottish authorities’s newest evaluation was that the R charge was over one, and ‘presumably as excessive as 1.5. 

Tory MPs confronted Matt Hancock within the Commons chamber as he defended the brand new measures. 

Sir Graham Brady, chair of the 1922 backbench committee, stated the ‘profound restrictions’ had not been thought-about sufficient.

He requested Mr Hancock: ‘Why has there not been a debate or vote within the House of Commons this week?’

Former minister Harriet Baldwin stated she was involved the federal government was imposing ‘extra restrictions on people’s liberty’. 

She stated the purpose beforehand had been to keep away from the NHS being swamped. ‘Has he now gone additional and is he aiming for zero Covid in England?’ she added.

Sir Desmond Swayne requested the minister: ‘Is there no scintilla of doubt in (his) thoughts occasioned by the rising physique of scientific opinion which questions the interpretation of the information and concludes that the insurance policies of governments, I take advantage of the plural, the insurance policies of governments are having an affect worse than the illness itself?’

Mr Hancock replied: ‘I firmly imagine, not solely primarily based on the medical recommendation, but in addition primarily based on my very own evaluation of and judgment of the details and the worldwide comparisons, that it’s obligatory for the general public well being of the nation to take actions to manage the unfold of the illness.’ 

Nicola Sturgeon instructed the Scottish Parliament that the R charge might be as excessive as 1.5 north of the border, as she introduced {that a} deliberate easing of restriction wouldn’t be going forward from subsequent week

Another MP instructed MailOnline Mr Johnson would unfairly find yourself being seen as ‘the Grinch’ if the restrictions dragged on to Christmas – particularly as Ms Sturgeon was being extra permissive.

‘It shouldn’t be him. It shouldn’t be who he’s,’ the MP lamented.

One normally-loyal backbencher stated they had been fully depressing in regards to the state of affairs.

‘I hate it. I feel it’s silly… if it is acquired to be completed it’s got to be completed, however I do not prefer it,’ they stated. ‘You suppose ”boll***s to this, we should always let all of it drop now.’

The MP added grudgingly: ‘I suppose in the event that they do all this and it stops one other lockdown it is going to be price it.’ 

In different coronavirus developments: 

  • Scientists have voiced severe doubts a couple of ‘Moonshot’ £100billion plan mooted by Mr Johnson to ease lockdown by testing 10million individuals a day; 
  • Portugal and Denmark are on the verge of being added to the UK’s quarantine record after a surge in circumstances; 
  • Commons Leader Jacob Rees-Mogg is self-isolating after one in all his six youngsters began displaying coronavirus signs;
  • Scotland has launched its personal contact tracing app, regardless of England and Wales nonetheless not having a working one in place; 
  • Oxford and AstraZeneca’s vaccine trial has been put on maintain for security causes, though it’s anticipated to renew within the coming days. 

Although circumstances have risen, the optimistic check charge – how many individuals check optimistic out of all these examined – has not reached ranges seen in the course of the pandemic. This provides a sign that some circumstances are resulting from extra targeted testing in hotspots

WHAT DOES THE SCIENCE SAY ABOUT CHILDREN AND COVID-19? 

Data reveals younger youngsters are unlikely to get severely unwell with the illness and it’s much more uncommon that they die, with adults much more weak. 

It shouldn’t be clear, nonetheless, how a lot youngsters contribute to the unfold of the virus, which has been made troublesome to measure resulting from worldwide college closures. 

Here is among the most outstanding – and complicated – analysis into the subject:

Children unfold the virus ‘six occasions lower than adults do’

Children are six occasions much less more likely to unfold coronavirus than adults, a research has claimed.

The analysis by Sant Joan de Déu Barcelona Children’s Hospital tracked how the coronavirus unfold in a gaggle of 1,900 individuals, principally youngsters, who spent 5 weeks at summer time camps in Spain.

They had been mixing in related conditions to varsities however spent most of their time open air and never in school rooms, the researchers in Barcelona stated.

Swab testing each week discovered 30 contaminated youngsters handed the virus on to simply 12 others, regardless of having greater than 250 shut contacts of their ‘bubble’. 

The youngsters’s R charge – the variety of individuals an contaminated individual transmits the virus to – was 0.3. In comparability, the R charge of the native space was 1.7 to 2, which means the kids had been six occasions much less infectious than the final inhabitants.  

No wholesome youngster has died from Covid in Britain 

Healthy youngsters don’t die of coronavirus and solely those that had been critically unwell earlier than they caught the illness are in danger, a serious UK research has confirmed.

No wholesome youngster has died of the virus but within the UK, researchers stated.

Six youngsters have died however all had different severe well being issues akin to most cancers or cerebral palsy once they had been struck down by Covid-19. 

Research discovered that the chance to youngsters is ‘strikingly low’, solely a tiny proportion of them find yourself in hospital and deaths are ‘exceptionally uncommon’. 

Six youngsters beneath the age of 15 have died of coronavirus in England and Wales because the begin of the pandemic, together with 9 15 to 19-year-olds. This compares with 52,082 victims in all different age teams as much as August 14, in line with the Office for National Statistics. 

Scientists led by the University of Liverpool discovered that one per cent of hospitalised youngsters died, in comparison with a considerably larger 27 per cent of adults. This implies that whereas one in 4 adults who ended up in hospital with Covid-19 died of it, just one in 100 youngsters did. 

The analysis was revealed within the prestigious British Medical Journal

Children beneath 10 ‘extra more likely to die in an accident than of Covid-19’ 

Children beneath 10 years outdated are nearly 20 occasions extra more likely to die from an unintentional damage than of Covid-19, a research has claimed. 

Scientists led by Newcastle University additionally discovered under-10s are twice as more likely to die from flu than they’re from the coronavirus.

When wanting on the threat of Covid-19 deaths in these between the ages of 10 and 19, it was thrice decrease than the chance of dying from an damage.

Dr Sunil Bhopal, from Newcastle University’s Population Health Sciences Institute, led the analysis and in contrast Covid-19 deaths with different causes of demise in youngsters from seven nations – the UK, the US, Italy, Germany, Spain, France and South Korea. 

They calculated what number of deaths would usually happen from all causes, aside from Covid-19, from March 1 to July 31.

Mortality knowledge from all causes was taken from 2017, together with three years’ price of flu knowledge from every nation’s official data.

In an estimated complete inhabitants of 137million, there have been 78 youngster deaths from Covid-19 in contrast with an estimated 21,966 deaths from all causes.

Covid-19 accounted for 0.35 per cent of deaths in youngsters aged to 19 years outdated.

On the opposite hand, there have been 1,755 attributable to unintentional damage. Injuries  weren’t described within the research however might embody automotive accidents or burns. And there have been 178 deaths attributable to the flu. 

Older pupils unfold the virus ‘like adults do’

A research by Public Health England reportedly discovered that secondary college pupils are as more likely to transmit coronavirus as adults.

Education Secretary Gavin Williamson stated PHE findings resulting from be revealed later this 12 months confirmed there was little threat from the Government’s plans to reopen faculties in England in September. 

While preliminary outcomes of the research — which separated youngsters into these older than 10 and people youthful —point out that main faculties will not be a major hazard, with simply six optimistic check outcomes out of 9,000 examined to date, it’s believed {that a} distinction was discovered within the older group.

A supply claimed the research urged that as pupils get older ‘their our bodies begin to act like small adults’ as they unfold the virus extra successfully. 

Schools are ‘minor gamers’ within the general transmission of coronavirus

Professor Russell Viner, president of the Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health, says faculties are ‘minor gamers’ within the transmission of coronavirus, and ‘we owe it to our youngsters’ to re-open faculties.

He stated mother and father needs to be ‘reassured’ by rising proof from nations together with Germany, Singapore and the Netherlands, which reveals ‘little vital transmission in faculties’.

Professor Viner, who additionally sits on the Government’s Scientific Advisory Group, stated returning subsequent month was more likely to ‘add little’ to the replica charge of an infection. 

He instructed BBC Radio 4’s Today programme that reopening faculties is without doubt one of the ‘least dangerous issues we are able to do’.  

He stated: ‘There’s at all times risks with proof however I feel the proof from around the globe is beginning to turn into convincing that for youthful youngsters, notably main college youngsters, that they seem like much less more likely to catch this virus, and so they do not play an enormous function in transmitting it.’   

Schoolchildren ‘don’t unfold the virus as a lot as employees do’

Research in Australia – one of many solely nations to maintain its faculties open in the course of the pandemic – discovered that youngsters don’t transit the coronavirus to different individuals as a lot as employees do, suggesting adults are extra able to spreading the illness.

The workforce led by Professor Kristine Macartney discovered that 12 youngsters and 15 adults had been discovered to have attended faculties or nurseries whereas infectious between 25 January to 10 April, when time period ended. 

The workforce confirmed that, of 633 shut contacts of these individuals who had been examined following signs, solely 18 had been discovered to have Covid-19.

Further evaluation of a subset of colleges confirmed the transmission charge between employees (4.4 per cent) was a lot larger than between youngsters (0.3 per cent), suggesting youngsters don’t unfold the virus as a lot as adults. 

An Australian research discovered the transmission charge between employees (4.4 per cent) was a lot larger than between youngsters (0.3 per cent), suggesting youngsters don’t unfold the virus as a lot as adults

Teenagers ‘unfold the coronavirus as a lot as adults do’

A South Korean research discovered youngsters beneath 10 transmitted much less usually to adults whereas these between the ages of 10 and 19 unfold the virus in addition to adults do.

The researchers at Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention checked out 5,706 contaminated individuals and research their 59,073 contacts for round 9 days to see who was later recognized. 

Households with the older youngsters had the best charge of unfold to different members—18.6 per cent— of any age group.

Only these of their 70s had an assault charge as excessive (18 per cent), adopted by these of their 50s (17 per cent) and their 40s (11.8 per cent). 

Households with youthful youngsters had the least unfold, simply 5.3 per cent, in line with the findings which will probably be revealed within the autumn version of Emerging Infectious Diseases.   

A research in South Korea discovered these aged 10-19 handed the coronavirus on to 18.6 per cent of their family contacts, and 0.9 per cent of their contact exterior the house

Children with out signs ‘might unfold the illness extra’

Independent SAGE ⁠— a gaggle of consultants arrange with of offering ‘strong, impartial recommendation’ to the UK Government throughout Covid-19 — has beforehand warned that youngsters might unfold coronavirus just because they aren’t detected as a case. 

Children could also be simply as more likely to catch the coronavirus as adults however are not recognized usually.

This is for 2 causes ⁠— youngsters to don’t present the standard signs that adults to, if in any respect, and testing was solely expanded to youngsters in May. 

A report from Independent SAGE revealed in May, which mentioned whether or not faculties ought to re-open on June 1, stated: ‘Studies have proven that between one per cent and 5 per cent of recognized Covid-19 circumstances are in youngsters, however many youngsters could also be undiagnosed as a result of as much as a 3rd of contaminated youngsters by no means develop any signs… 

‘However, the affect of putting many youngsters in a single place may lead faculties to turn into “institutional amplifiers” if asymptomatic youngsters go unnoticed till an grownup turns into symptomatic.’  

Children’s viral masses are as much as 100 occasions larger than adults’, making them extra infectious 

Children beneath 5 years outdated can transmit the novel coronavirus simply as simply as older youngsters can, a research in July claimed.

Researchers from Ann & Robert H. Lurie Children’s Hospital of Chicago checked out 145 sufferers who developed average Covid-19 inside every week of signs, in line with the findings revealed in JAMA Pediatric.

Three teams had been in contrast: youngsters youthful than age 5, youngsters between ages 5 and 17 years and adults from ages 18 to 65.

The findings reveals that though youngsters kindergarten-age or youthful solely have gentle sickness, they’d viral masses between 10-fold and 100-fold higher quantity of their higher respiratory tract.

‘We discovered that youngsters beneath 5 with Covid-19 have the next viral load than older youngsters and adults, which can counsel higher transmission, as we see with respiratory syncytial virus, also referred to as RSV,’ stated lead writer Dr Taylor Heald-Sargent, a paediatric infectious illnesses specialist at Lurie Children’s.

‘Our research was not designed to show that youthful youngsters unfold Covid-19 as a lot as adults, however it’s a risk.’

Ms Sturgeon introduced {that a} loosening beforehand hoped for from September 14 in Scotland – which to this point has been beneath more durable guidelines than England – must be put on maintain for an additional three weeks.

‘Unfortunately, as a result of rise in circumstances we have now seen since then, we have now concluded that these modifications have to be paused for an additional three weeks,’ she stated.

Ms Sturgeon stated that the choice ‘means sadly spectators will be unable to return to sports activities stadia and different venues over the subsequent three weeks’ with a brand new indicative date given of October 5.

She went on to announce that folks would solely now be capable of meet up in teams of six – whether or not inside or exterior.

She stated: ‘We have concluded that it’s essential to tighten some present restrictions, to assist curb the unfold of the virus particularly between and inside households.

‘As of now, as much as eight individuals from three households can meet indoors. Larger out of doors gatherings are additionally permitted.

‘I can affirm that we intend to vary this, so {that a} most of six individuals from two households will now be permitted to fulfill collectively.’

She added: ‘To assist cut back transmission – but in addition simplify the principles as a lot as attainable – this new restrict will apply each indoors, in homes, in pubs and eating places, and likewise open air together with in non-public gardens.’

However, crucially she added that any youngsters beneath 12 who’re a part of two households assembly up wouldn’t depend in direction of the restrict of six individuals. 

Local authority knowledge reveals that 65 per cent (210 out of 320) of councils have a charge of coronavirus circumstances beneath 20 per 100,000, the extent at which the Government considers quarantine measures for overseas nations. And an evaluation of postcode knowledge by The Telegraph reveals 75 per cent – or 5,157 areas – have a charge beneath 20 per 100,000. Around 7,200 persons are estimated to dwell in every postcode, which when multiplied provides 38 million.

The UK’s coronavirus outbreak is generally being pushed by circumstances in hotspots together with Greater Manchester, Lancashire, Birmingham and Leicester, with many space are in native lockdown measures or receiving additional Government assist.

Sturgeon stated younger youngsters need not socially distance in July 

Nicola Sturgeon declared that youngsters beneath 12 could be exempted from social distancing originally of July. 

The First Minister stated she hoped the transfer would make life ‘slightly bit simpler and slightly bit extra enjoyable’ over the summer time holidays – amid proof that youngsters are at low threat.

Children aged between 12 and 17 are nonetheless meant to obey distancing guidelines, however they don’t face the identical restrictions on what number of completely different teams of individuals they’ll meet throughout a day. 

Hundreds of cities and villages all over the nation have managed to maintain their coronavirus circumstances low however will nonetheless be topic to the draconian new measures.

Rural areas within the South West, for instance, have escaped the worst of the virus’s affect for many of the outbreak however are nonetheless being subjected to the robust guidelines confronted by the remainder of the nation.

Lesser-affected areas embody locations akin to Northumberland and Bishop Auckland within the North, to Weymouth, Ashford and Winchester within the south.

All will probably be required to make sure individuals meet in teams no bigger than six indoors and open air, and topic to fines starting from £100 to £3,200 in the event that they fail to conform, regardless of their low numbers of coronavirus circumstances. 

A Conservative former Minister criticised the measures as a ‘very broad brush’ and stated that one thing ‘extra concentrated’ would have been higher. 

PM’s personal SAGE consultants forged doubt on his £100bn ‘Moonshot’ plan to save lots of Christmas 

Boris Johnson’s personal SAGE consultants raised severe doubts about his ‘moonshot’ plan for mass testing to save lots of Christmas – warning that the claimed £100billion price might be higher deployed elsewhere and there might be too many false outcomes.

The PM mooted the novel scheme at a Downing Street press convention final evening as a method of returning the nation to normality, with 10million individuals a day screened utilizing speedy new kits.

However, ministers admitted this morning that the testing know-how doesn’t but exist, with the federal government’s personal scientists saying there is no such thing as a assure it should ever be developed. 

A SAGE evaluation from August 31 insisted ‘cautious consideration’ needs to be given as to if pouring assets into the scheme was simpler than boosting funding to Test & Trace, or encouraging individuals with signs to self-isolate.

The elite group stated the ‘cheaper, quicker exams’ wanted for mass testing would inevitably be much less correct, and the screening might solely be a ‘element’ of efforts to sort out the virus.

Eminent statistician David Spiegelhalter stated he was ‘banging his head on the wall’ on the concept, mentioning that even one of the best exams would wrongly label 1 per cent of individuals as optimistic, requiring thousands and thousands to quarantine.

Dorset has recorded 37 circumstances up to now week, giving it a charge of simply 8.7 per 100,000 in line with official knowledge. And Exeter, which is in Devon, has recorded 10 circumstances up to now week, giving it a charge of seven.7 per 100,000.

Christopher Snowdon, the Head of Lifestyle Economics on the Institute for Economic Affairs, stated the Government had ‘over-reacted’ to an increase in circumstances by bringing within the draconian measures.

‘Figures present that the (coronavirus) downside continues to be fairly extremely localised, regardless of what was stated yesterday,’ he instructed MailOnline. ‘I have a look at the map the place you may test outbreaks and, in my neck of the woods, there are big stretches of land the place there are lower than two circumstances.

‘It suggests to me that native lockdowns or native restrictions are nonetheless one of the simplest ways ahead and the broad brush method is, at finest, untimely.

‘I feel the Government has possibly determined to herald this ‘Rule of Six’ as a result of it should have a smaller financial affect than closing pubs or faculties, however there will probably be an financial affect. You cannot have greater than six individuals in a gaggle in eating places, for instance.

‘I do know the hospitality trade may be very involved. (They) are nonetheless making an attempt to stability the economic system and threat to some extent, however they acquired the stability improper.’ 

Bolton at present has the best charge of coronavirus infections in England, with 131.1 per 100,000 after one other 377 circumstances had been recorded. This is a pointy rise from the speed of 72.0 recorded seven days in the past.

Bradford has the second highest charge, at 78.4 with 423 new circumstances, and Birmingham the third highest, at 77.1 with 880 new circumstances.

Other areas of concern embody Salford, at 70.7, Sunderland, at 69.1, Manchester, at 64.9, Leeds, at 61.7, and Leicester, at 56.7.

But a whole bunch of different cities and villages within the UK are recording case charges at lower than 20 per 100,000.

Local lockdowns are already in place for Bolton, Blackburn with Darwen, Oldham, Pendle, Leicester and Greencore in Northampton.

An extra tightening of restrictions has been seen within the North of England, and former lockdown measures for Luton have since been dropped.

No lockdown restrictions are in place in Birmingham, however the metropolis has been put on the watchlist after infections there doubled within the final week. West Midlands mayor Andy Street stated even more durable restrictions are ‘wanting doubtless’ for residents after 712 new infections had been recorded.

The more durable guidelines for town might embody households being banned from mixing in non-public houses or gardens, and persons are solely allowed to dine out with individuals they already dwell with. 

The Prime Minister warned at a Downing Street press briefing yesterday that the brand new England-wide restrictions might be right here for months – probably scuppering households plans over the Christmas break.

And Matt Hancock instructed Sky News that the principles could be there for the ‘foreseeable future’ – however he sought to pour chilly water on recommendations they might nonetheless be in place for the festive interval, stating ‘three months is a very long time in a pandemic’.

Government sources have voiced gloom over a ‘troublesome six months’ to return. One official cautioned that it was not a state of affairs of ‘a few weeks and we’re again to the place we had been’ – saying the R quantity was ‘clearly above one’. 

At the identical time, circumstances in over 80 12 months olds have dropped drastically because the top of the pandemic, once they made up nearly all of Covid-19 circumstances, and have halved since July. Infections have stayed secure amongst these of their 60s and 70s, whereas very barely rising in these between the ages of 40 to 59 years outdated

Data from the Covid Symptom Tracker app, run by King’s College London, reveals there have been days in March and April when greater than 100,000 circumstances of coronavirus had been estimated to have been caught within the UK. But testing figures had been displaying fewer than 6,500, which means that the numbers of circumstances now can’t be in contrast like for like, as a result of the at present estimated variety of new circumstances is round 3,200 and plenty of of them are actually being picked up by exams, whereas solely a vanishingly small quantity had been at first

CORONAVIRUS CASES NOW DO NOT COMPARE LIKE-FOR-LIKE WITH SPRING CRISIS WHEN 100,000 PER DAY WERE CATCHING IT

The Government has warned repeatedly in current weeks that coronavirus circumstances are rising in Britain and officers at the moment introduced guidelines on socialising should tighten up once more. 

Official testing figures present the numbers of individuals getting optimistic outcomes has began to return to ranges final seen in May, whereas the nation was nonetheless in lockdown.

But knowledge reveals this comparability is deceptive as some scientists estimate greater than 100,000 individuals per day had been catching the sickness on the finish of March however not getting examined.

Data from the Covid Symptom Tracker app, run by King’s College London and healthcare know-how firm ZOE, confirmed that the variety of estimated circumstances within the UK on March 30 was 1,779,303 and it had risen by 102,200 from a day earlier. 

But official testing then confirmed solely 3,250 new circumstances, from simply over 8,000 exams.

So 3,000 optimistic circumstances now, when round 180,000 exams are completed every day, doesn’t examine like-for-like as a result of there are such a lot of extra negatives.  

Rationed testing within the spring meant solely a fraction of people that had been carrying the illness had been truly examined – principally these sick sufficient to be in hospital.

Data from the Covid Symptom Tracker, run by King’s College London, reveals there have been days in March and April when greater than 100,000 circumstances of coronavirus had been estimated to have been caught within the UK, however testing figures had been displaying fewer than 6,500

Official testing figures counsel not more than 6,500 individuals ever caught the virus in a day, which means the rises now are approaching scary ranges however they aren’t comparable as a result of testing now catches so many extra hidden circumstances

At occasions, greater than 40 per cent of individuals getting examined had been getting optimistic outcomes, with a excessive optimistic charge displaying a big proportion of people that thought they’d Covid-19 actually did, and plenty of extra had been in all probability going missed.

Now, nonetheless, the optimistic check charge is round two per cent, which means most individuals who suppose they’ve coronavirus truly do not, so there are doubtless fewer missed circumstances.

The Government has pointed the finger at younger individuals for having the best charge of an infection – and warned this might result in a rise in infections in older people who find themselves extra in danger from the virus. 

Those aged between 20 to 29 have the best weekly incidence charge, at 41.6 per 100,000. And significantly behind are 30 to 39-year-olds, with a charge of 25.8, and ten to 19-year-olds, with a charge of twenty-two.7.

The ranges among the many aged stay low, at 1.7 per 100,000 for these aged 60 to 69, though these could also be pushed up by transmission via the inhabitants.

In a direct plea to the younger final evening, Boris Johnson stated they need to contemplate their behaviour for ‘the sake of your mother and father’ and your grandparents well being.

And Professor Chris Whitty warned that with out speedy motion the UK might effectively go down an analogous path to France the place the numbers have continued to rise – cautioning that the state of affairs was more likely to be perilous throughout to Spring. 

The Government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) is anxious about transmission between the generations, notably through waiters and bar tenders, experiences The Telegraph.

Professor Peter Horby, from the University of Oxford and a member of SAGE, instructed the publication: ‘What we’re seeing is a return to work within the hospitality trade, individuals akin to waiters and waitresses.

‘It might be the case that folks really feel beneath strain to return, no matter whether or not the an infection management measures are any good.’

The committee is enterprise additional analysis to know their function in transmission. 

It comes as paperwork leaked to the British Medical Journal reveal the Government is planning to spend £100billion on testing, the equal of the training finances, in an effort to get Britain ‘again to life earlier than Covid’.

The plans might see as much as 10 million coronavirus exams carried out each day by early subsequent 12 months, with theatres, cinemas and different venues testing everybody once they arrive.

Workplaces, faculties, soccer stadiums, leisure venues, GP surgical procedures and pharmacies are all outlined as potential websites the place testing might happen.

Digital immunity passports for individuals who check damaging would even be rolled out to permit secure journey, a return to work and different actions.

A leaked memo, despatched to Nicola Sturgeon and different Scottish cupboard secretaries, says the proposals are ‘to assist financial exercise and a return to regular life’.

‘This is described by the Prime Minister as our solely hope for avoiding a second nationwide lockdown earlier than a vaccine, one thing the nation can not afford,’ they are saying.

The finances for testing additionally comes near that of the NHS in England, at £130billion a 12 months, which in itself represents 20 per cent of all public spending.

But critics have already slammed the so-called Operation Moonshot as a result of obvious lack of enter from scientists and public well being consultants and what appears to be a refusal to sort out points with present testing and tracing programmes.

Sir David Spiegelhalter, a professor of threat at Cambridge University, stated statisticians had been ‘banging their heads on the wall’ on the concept the scheme could be efficient.

‘Mass testing at all times looks as if a good suggestion in any illness. ”Oh sure, let’s check all people.” But the massive hazard is fake positives,’ he stated.

‘No exams are good. It’s not a easy sure, no factor. If you’ll have a check that will permit somebody right into a theatre or permit them again to work you must be actually positive they aren’t infectious.

‘And so you must set a threshold that’s not very delicate, that may choose up something that hints at being infectious.

‘That implies that such a check will at all times generate a really massive variety of false positives. That does not matter a lot maybe in case you are simply being stopped from going into theatre.

‘But the purpose is it isn’t only a matter of testing, you’ve got this entire downstream enterprise, that that individual will probably be instructed to isolate, their contacts will probably be instructed to isolate and so on.

‘Even if you happen to solely have 1 per cent false positives among the many people who find themselves not infectious, and you might be testing the entire nation, that’s 600,000 individuals unnecessarily labelled as positives – for all that implication for them and their contacts.

‘There isn’t any indication within the leaked paperwork that anyone is making an allowance for these points about false positives…. Let alone all of the logistical points. I’m deeply involved about this.’

Sir David Spiegelhalter, a professor of threat at Cambridge University, stated statisticians had been ‘banging their heads on the wall’ on the concept the scheme could be efficient

NEW LOCKDOWN RULES FOR ENGLAND FROM MONDAY 

  • Max social gatherings SIX PEOPLE
  • Applies indoors and open air
  • Applies in non-public houses
  • Applies in pubs and eating places
  • Does NOT apply to varsities or workplaces
  • Does NOT apply to weddings, funerals, workforce sport
  • Does NOT apply if family bubbles are greater than six individuals
  • Police will probably be inspired to interrupt up bigger teams and concern £100 fines, which is able to then double on every repeat offence as much as £3,200

 

There are fears that many of the know-how concerned within the plan does not even exist but, let alongside the logistical headache that finishing up 10 million day by day exams would deliver for officers who’ve struggled with just some hundred thousand.

Deputy chief medical officer Dr Jenny Harries stated even with the appropriate know-how, there could be large issued with the system. She stated it needs to be considered as a part of the broader response – suggesting individuals who check damaging however have signs would nonetheless must quarantine.

She instructed BBC Breakfast: ‘So that, if in case you have, for instance, a false damaging check, however you’re feeling assured that you do not have the illness, you do not find yourself going again into the office.

‘Which brings me again to why it is nonetheless so essential that the essential measure right here – though testing is basically essential, whether or not it’s mass testing or whether or not it’s our routine NHS Test and Trace – the problem is that if individuals have signs they should come out of society in an effort to forestall illness transmission.’ 

Even the federal government’s SAGE group has voiced severe doubts in regards to the initiative.

A ‘consensus’ assertion from the consultants on August 31 assesses the concept, saying it may solely be ‘one element’ of the general response.

‘Establishing a brand new mass testing programme have to be undertaken with a view to the whole end-to-end system – testing know-how is just one element,’ the paper stated.

Coronavirus hospital admissions might begin to rise within the UK in three weeks, knowledge from different European nations suggests. When Spain, France and Belgium hit 18 circumstances per 100,000 (which the UK did on Sunday) they then noticed admissions improve by as much as four-fold

How No10 began to panic in every week 

September 2: Bolton and Trafford had been resulting from be taken out of lockdown, however the concept is ditched on the final minute after an enchantment from native leaders who warned circumstances had been too excessive.

Boris Johnson tells MPs of his willpower to get Britons again within the workplace, revealing that part-time season tickets might be launched.

September 3: Matt Hancock says speedy new saliva exams for Covid might imply the nation is again to regular by Christmas.

Portugal and Greece are saved off England’s quarantine ‘crimson’ record for arrivals, regardless of restrictions being imposed by each Wales and Scotland. 

September 4: Cases hit 1,940 in a day, the best degree since May. Boris Johnson rejects requires testing at airports, saying it will solely give a ‘false sense of safety’. 

September 6: Case numbers spike once more to 2,988, probably the most recorded since May 27. However, consultants level out that hospitalisations and deaths stay at a really low degree.

September 7: New infections dip barely however are nonetheless greater than double the Joint Biosecurity Centre’s secure degree, at 2,420.

Grant Shapps partially follows the instance of Scotland and Wales by including seven Greek islands to the quarantine record. 

Nicola Sturgeon pronounces that lockdown won’t be easing additional in Scotland, as had been schedule.  

September 8: Mr Hancock pronounces {that a} draconian lockdown is being imposed in Bolton, because it has the best charge within the UK. Pubs and eating places are ordered to close by 10pm and folks can not socialise exterior their family. 

Across the UK, day by day infections are once more above 2,000.

The PM tells Cabinet that in different nations an increase in circumstances has been adopted by extra deaths, and they’re taking the state of affairs ‘critically’. 

September 9: Mr Johnson pronounces a authorized ban on gatherings of greater than six individuals, enforced by fines. Mr Hancock hints that Belgium-style curfews might be thought-about subsequent.  

From Monday it is going to be unlawful to assemble in teams of seven or extra wherever in England, whether or not indoors or out.

The restrict – sparked by concern that partying younger persons are fuelling a flare-up – is a dramatic discount on the utmost of 30 put in place on July 4. It will probably be enforced by police with £100 fines, doubling on every repeat offence as much as £3,200. Only faculties, workplaces and a restricted variety of different areas will probably be exempt.

Pubs and eating places can even be legally obliged to gather contact tracing data from prospects. Before they had been solely requested to in authorities steerage. And Mr Johnson stated the federal government was having to ‘revise and evaluation’ the return of theatres and stadium occasions, with sports activities matches dealing with a 1,000 ceiling on attendance.

Mr Johnson stated he was ‘sorry’ that bigger households wouldn’t be capable of meet up, as they’d be above the six-person threshold. ‘But as your PM I need to do what it takes to cease the unfold of the virus.’

The new guidelines comply with an increase in circumstances from 12.5 per 100,000 individuals to 19.7 per 100,000 within the UK within the final week – with a selected rise in infections amongst younger individuals.

Infections are most prevalent among the many 19 to 21-year-old age group, with 54 circumstances per 100,000 individuals.

Mr Johnson instructed the No10 briefing that he knew the principles had turn into ‘fairly difficult and complicated’ over the course of the disaster.

‘We are responding, and we’re simplifying and strengthening the principles, making them simpler for everybody to know,’ he stated.

He went on: ‘This rule of six will in fact throw up troublesome circumstances, for instance two entire households will not be capable of meet if they’d collectively exceed the restrict of six individuals and I’m sorry about that, and I want that we didn’t must take this step.

‘But as your Prime Minister, I need to do what is important to cease the unfold of the virus and to save lots of lives. And in fact we are going to hold the rule of six beneath fixed evaluation and solely hold it in place so long as is important.’

Mr Johnson stated that he has tasked the Cabinet with rising enforcement of the principles, including: ‘In future, premises the place individuals meet socially will probably be legally required to request the contact particulars of a member of each celebration, file and retain these particulars for 21 days and supply them to NHS Test and Trace, at once, when required.’

The introduction of ‘Covid-secure marshals’ on the town centres can even assist to spice up social distancing, he stated.

And enforcement of quarantine guidelines for arrivals within the UK can also be being elevated.

In a grim evaluation of the slog to return, Prof Whitty stated: ‘Everybody I feel within the nation will know, and it has been broadly reported that the interval over autumn and winter, which is the interval when all respiratory viruses have a bonus as a result of individuals crowd collectively, extra issues are completed indoors amongst different causes, it will be troublesome.

‘So the interval between now and spring goes to be troublesome as a result of it is a respiratory virus.

‘I feel by way of the prevailing restrictions, individuals ought to see this as the subsequent block of time that will not final for a lot of months, however it is extremely unlikely to be over in simply two or three weeks.’

The UK has recorded greater than 2,000 new coronavirus circumstances for 4 days in a row.

The knowledge introduced on the press convention present that circumstances are nonetheless low relative to another European nations – however emphasised the affect of upper testing among the many youthful technology

Despite the measures being taken on Monday, Matt Hancock has insisted that it’s nonetheless secure for individuals to return to the workplace. He stated workplaces had been ‘Covid safe’ and proof confirmed nearly all transmission occurred in social settings.

Mr Johnson had a convention name with police final week throughout which he was urged to simplify the principles so enforcement was simpler.

Mr Hancock refused to rule out a second lockdown, regardless of assurances by the Prime Minister. Speaking to LBC, Mr Hancock stated: ‘Our purpose is to keep away from having to do something extra drastic by individuals following the principles.’

But he wouldn’t rule out a return to lockdown, saying: ‘I would not make a vow like that.

‘You would not count on me to – I’m the Health Secretary in the midst of a pandemic the place we try to maintain the nation secure.’

What’s the speed of coronavirus circumstances in your space? 

The charge of coronavirus circumstances in native areas throughout England has been revealed in official knowledge.

It locations Bolton on the prime, with a charge of 131.1 per 100,000 after it recorded 377 new circumstances in every week, adopted by Bradford, with 78.4 after seeing 423 new circumstances, and Birmingham, with 77.1 after it recorded an additional 880 further circumstances.

As many as 110 native authority areas recorded an an infection charge above 20 circumstances per 100,000 up to now week, the extent at which the Government begins contemplating journey restrictions for overseas nations.

But a minimum of 200 have charges beneath 20 per 100,000, but will nonetheless be topic to the Government’s draconian restrictions.

And, when the information is damaged down by postcode, 75 per cent of areas have a coronavirus an infection charge beneath 20 per 100,000. 

Below is a listing of native areas by charge of circumstances per 100,000.

Local areas with a charge above 20 per 100,000

The charge of latest circumstances within the seven days to September sixth and the quantity (in brackets); and charge of latest circumstances within the seven days to August thirtieth, and the quantity (in brackets).

Bolton 131.1 (377), 72.0 (207)

Bradford 78.4 (423), 52.8 (285)

Birmingham 77.1 (880), 31.2 (356)

Tameside 72.0 (163), 38.9 (88)

Preston 71.3 (102), 37.0 (53)

Salford 70.7 (183), 40.6 (105)

Sunderland 69.1 (192), 8.6 (24)

Blackburn with Darwen 66.8 (100), 50.8 (76)

Manchester 64.9 (359), 43.8 (242)

Rochdale 63.4 (141), 44.1 (98)

Bury 62.3 (119), 27.8 (53)

Burnley 61.9 (55), 38.2 (34)

Hyndburn 61.7 (50), 21.0 (17)

Leeds 61.7 (489), 33.3 (264)

Solihull 59.6 (129), 9.7 (21)

Oldham 58.2 (138), 64.9 (154)

Leicester 56.7 (201), 26.0 (92)

Wirral 55.6 (180), 30.2 (98)

Pendle 55.4 (51), 77.1 (71)

Gateshead 54.4 (110), 17.8 (36)

South Tyneside 54.3 (82), 46.4 (70)

Blaby 52.2 (53), 14.8 (15)

Hertsmere 51.5 (54), 32.4 (34)

Oadby and Wigston 50.9 (29), 12.3 (7)

Liverpool 50.2 (250), 17.3 (86)

Hartlepool 50.2 (47), 16.0 (15)

Warrington 49.0 (103), 13.8 (29)

Middlesbrough 47.5 (67), 28.4 (40)

Selby 46.3 (42), 6.6 (6)

Corby 45.7 (33), 54.0 (39)

Newcastle upon Tyne 44.9 (136), 17.2 (52)

Knowsley 43.1 (65), 11.3 (17)

St. Helens 42.1 (76), 6.6 (12)

Calderdale 41.6 (88), 21.8 (46)

Kirklees 40.0 (176), 28.7 (126)

Lincoln 39.3 (39), 9.1 (9)

Sandwell 38.1 (125), 27.4 (90)

Rossendale 37.8 (27), 65.8 (47)

Wolverhampton 37.2 (98), 13.3 (35)

Broxtowe 36.8 (42), 14.9 (17)

Scarborough 34.9 (38), 3.7 (4)

North Tyneside 33.7 (70), 10.6 (22)

West Lancashire 33.2 (38), 7.0 (8)

Kensington and Chelsea 32.7 (51), 28.8 (45)

Harrogate 32.3 (52), 10.6 (17)

Sheffield 32.3 (189), 20.9 (122)

Sefton 32.2 (89), 16.6 (46)

Wigan 31.9 (105), 13.1 (43)

Northampton 31.6 (71), 20.0 (45)

South Ribble 31.6 (35), 8.1 (9)

Trafford 31.2 (74), 39.2 (93)

Spelthorne 31.0 (31), 16.0 (16)

Havering 30.8 (80), 15.8 (41)

Barnsley 30.8 (76), 8.5 (21)

Redbridge 30.5 (93), 12.1 (37)

County Durham 30.0 (159), 12.3 (65)

Worthing 29.8 (33), 7.2 (8)

Nottingham 29.1 (97), 10.2 (34)

Barking and Dagenham 29.1 (62), 13.2 (28)

Newham 28.9 (102), 13.3 (47)

Hounslow 28.0 (76), 13.6 (37)

Halton 27.8 (36), 7.7 (10)

Stoke-on-Trent 27.7 (71), 15.2 (39)

Stockport 27.6 (81), 10.9 (32)

Melton 27.3 (14), 0.0 (0)

Redcar and Cleveland 27.0 (37), 22.6 (31)

Watford 26.9 (26), 22.8 (22)

Barrow-in-Furness 26.8 (18), 0.0 (0)

East Staffordshire 26.7 (32), 23.4 (28)

Malvern Hills 26.7 (21), 2.5 (2)

Rugby 26.6 (29), 7.3 (8)

Kettering 26.5 (27), 33.4 (34)

Hammersmith and Fulham 26.5 (49), 22.7 (42)

Coventry 26.4 (98), 17.5 (65)

Mansfield 25.6 (28), 6.4 (7)

Tower Hamlets 25.6 (83), 15.1 (49)

Bromsgrove 25.0 (25), 8.0 (8)

Barnet 25.0 (99), 16.7 (66)

Peterborough 24.7 (50), 21.3 (43)

North Somerset 24.6 (53), 11.2 (24)

Harrow 24.3 (61), 21.5 (54)

Test Valley 23.8 (30), 11.1 (14)

High Peak 23.7 (22), 14.0 (13)

Luton 23.5 (50), 10.3 (22)

Rotherham 23.4 (62), 11.3 (30)

Wakefield 23.3 (81), 11.8 (41)

South Staffordshire 23.1 (26), 2.7 (3)

Walsall 23.1 (66), 10.2 (29)

Oxford 23.0 (35), 9.2 (14)

Craven 22.8 (13), 1.8 (1)

Lambeth 22.7 (74), 17.2 (56)

Elmbridge 22.7 (31), 14.6 (20)

Newcastle-under-Lyme 22.4 (29), 21.6 (28)

Cheshire East 22.4 (86), 10.9 (42)

Stockton-on-Tees 22.3 (44), 14.7 (29)

Uttlesford 21.9 (20), 8.8 (8)

Haringey 21.6 (58), 12.3 (33)

Dudley 21.5 (69), 10.9 (35)

North Kesteven 21.4 (25), 5.1 (6)

Islington 21.0 (51), 11.1 (27)

Rushcliffe 21.0 (25), 14.3 (17)

Blackpool 20.8 (29), 7.9 (11)

Slough 20.7 (31), 11.4 (17)

New Forest 20.5 (37), 6.1 (11)

Enfield 20.4 (68), 11.7 (39)

Westminster 20.3 (53), 15.3 (40)

Harborough 20.3 (19), 19.2 (18)

Ealing 20.2 (69), 12.6 (43)

East Northamptonshire 20.1 (19), 12.7 (12)

Wychavon 20.1 (26), 5.4 (7)

 

Local areas with a charge beneath 20 per 100,000

The charge of latest circumstances within the seven days to September sixth and the quantity (in brackets); and charge of latest circumstances within the seven days to August thirtieth, and the quantity (in brackets). 

Hillingdon 19.9 (61), 11.1 (34)

Northumberland 19.8 (64), 9.0 (29)

Chiltern 19.8 (19), 17.7 (17)

Stafford 19.7 (27), 5.8 (8)

St Albans 19.5 (29), 12.1 (18)

Chorley 19.5 (23), 7.6 (9)

Wandsworth 19.4 (64), 19.4 (64)

Windsor and Maidenhead 19.2 (29), 13.9 (21)

Wellingborough 18.8 (15), 8.8 (7)

Ashfield 18.8 (24), 4.7 (6)

Cheshire West and Chester 18.7 (64), 7.9 (27)

Epsom and Ewell 18.6 (15), 13.6 (11)

Reading 18.5 (30), 13.0 (21)

Southwark 18.5 (59), 11.3 (36)

North Warwickshire 18.4 (12), 3.1 (2)

Staffordshire Moorlands 18.3 (18), 6.1 (6)

Hackney and City of London 18.2 (53), 18.2 (53)

Three Rivers 18.2 (17), 10.7 (10)

Bracknell Forest 18.0 (22), 6.5 (8)

Woking 17.9 (18), 6.0 (6)

Wyre 17.8 (20), 4.5 (5)

Charnwood 17.8 (33), 5.4 (10)

South Derbyshire 17.7 (19), 7.5 (8)

Brent 17.6 (58), 14.6 (48)

Croydon 17.3 (67), 10.6 (41)

North Hertfordshire 17.2 (23), 4.5 (6)

Wiltshire 17.2 (86), 3.6 (18)

Richmond upon Thames 17.2 (34), 15.2 (30)

Great Yarmouth 17.1 (17), 36.2 (36)

Bristol 17.0 (79), 9.9 (46)

Tunbridge Wells 16.8 (20), 7.6 (9)

Waverley 16.6 (21), 16.6 (21)

Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole 16.4 (65), 6.3 (25)

Lewisham 16.3 (50), 7.5 (23)

Welwyn Hatfield 16.3 (20), 22.8 (28)

Bath and North East Somerset 16.0 (31), 7.8 (15)

Swale 16.0 (24), 6.7 (10)

Stevenage 15.9 (14), 10.2 (9)

North East Derbyshire 15.8 (16), 5.9 (6)

West Lindsey 15.7 (15), 3.1 (3)

Surrey Heath 15.7 (14), 7.8 (7)

Tamworth 15.6 (12), 27.4 (21)

Brentwood 15.6 (12), 15.6 (12)

Castle Point 15.5 (14), 14.4 (13)

Reigate and Banstead 15.5 (23), 10.8 (16)

Bromley 15.3 (51), 9.0 (30)

South Lakeland 15.2 (16), 1.9 (2)

Brentwood 15.6 (12), 15.6 (12)

Castle Point 15.5 (14), 14.4 (13)

Reigate and Banstead 15.5 (23), 10.8 (16)

Bromley 15.3 (51), 9.0 (30)

South Lakeland 15.2 (16), 1.9 (2)

Cambridge 15.2 (19), 16.0 (20)

Bolsover 14.9 (12), 12.4 (10)

Wycombe 14.9 (26), 23.5 (41)

Ribble Valley 14.8 (9), 21.4 (13)

Kingston upon Thames 14.6 (26), 13.5 (24)

Runnymede 14.5 (13), 6.7 (6)

West Suffolk 14.5 (26), 6.1 (11)

West Oxfordshire 14.5 (16), 9.9 (11)

Waltham Forest 14.4 (40), 15.5 (43)

Bedford 14.4 (25), 16.7 (29)

Swindon 14.4 (32), 20.3 (45)

Broxbourne 14.4 (14), 11.3 (11)

Derby 14.4 (37), 7.8 (20)

Lichfield 14.3 (15), 13.4 (14)

South Bucks 14.3 (10), 12.8 (9)

Chichester 14.0 (17), 1.7 (2)

Basildon 13.9 (26), 9.1 (17)

Newark and Sherwood 13.9 (17), 7.4 (9)

Arun 13.7 (22), 3.7 (6)

Bassetlaw 13.6 (16), 6.0 (7)

Fylde 13.6 (11), 5.0 (4)

Tandridge 13.6 (12), 9.1 (8)

Gedling 13.6 (16), 9.3 (11)

Dover 13.5 (16), 3.4 (4)

North West Leicestershire 13.5 (14), 5.8 (6)

York 13.3 (28), 8.1 (17)

Vale of White Horse 13.2 (18), 14.7 (20)

Darlington 13.1 (14), 10.3 (11)

Stratford-on-Avon 13.1 (17), 6.9 (9)

Norwich 12.8 (18), 16.4 (23)

Daventry 12.8 (11), 7.0 (6)

South Oxfordshire 12.7 (18), 4.9 (7)

South Kesteven 12.6 (18), 5.6 (8)

Camden 12.6 (34), 14.1 (38)

Merton 12.6 (26), 6.8 (14)

Mid Sussex 12.6 (19), 12.6 (19)

Warwick 12.5 (18), 6.3 (9)

Chesterfield 12.4 (13), 1.0 (1)

Wealden 12.4 (20), 6.2 (10)

Lancaster 12.3 (18), 2.7 (4)

Dacorum 12.3 (19), 20.7 (32)

Telford and Wrekin 12.2 (22), 3.3 (6)

Epping Forest 12.1 (16), 19.7 (26)

Erewash 12.1 (14), 6.1 (7)

Guildford 12.1 (18), 8.7 (13)

Brighton and Hove 12.0 (35), 9.6 (28)

Milton Keynes 11.9 (32), 7.1 (19)

Plymouth 11.8 (31), 13.4 (35)

South Northamptonshire 11.6 (11), 8.5 (8)

Sutton 11.6 (24), 6.3 (13)

Sevenoaks 11.6 (14), 9.1 (11)

South Gloucestershire 11.6 (33), 9.1 (26)

Hinckley and Bosworth 11.5 (13), 10.6 (12)

Thurrock 11.5 (20), 5.2 (9)

East Hampshire 11.4 (14), 12.3 (15)

Herefordshire 11.4 (22), 2.6 (5)

Eden 11.3 (6), 5.6 (3)

Allerdale 11.3 (11), 8.2 (8)

Greenwich 11.1 (32), 12.5 (36)

Carlisle 11.0 (12), 8.3 (9)

East Devon 10.9 (16), 7.5 (11)

Southend-on-Sea 10.9 (20), 11.5 (21)

Cannock Chase 10.9 (11), 2.0 (2)

Adur 10.9 (7), 4.7 (3)

Worcester 10.9 (11), 8.9 (9)

Ryedale 10.8 (6), 5.4 (3)

Hastings 10.8 (10), 15.1 (14)

Nuneaton and Bedworth 10.8 (14), 4.6 (6)

Eastbourne 10.6 (11), 6.7 (7)

East Riding of Yorkshire 10.6 (36), 4.1 (14)

North Lincolnshire 10.4 (18), 7.5 (13)

Mendip 10.4 (12), 5.2 (6)

Cheltenham 10.3 (12), 12.9 (15)

Dorset 10.3 (39), 2.4 (9)

Doncaster 10.3 (32), 3.2 (10)

Shropshire 10.2 (33), 7.7 (25)

Chelmsford 10.1 (18), 9.0 (16)

Cherwell 10.0 (15), 4.7 (7)

Wokingham 9.9 (17), 8.2 (14)

Lewes 9.7 (10), 5.8 (6)

Rushmoor 9.5 (9), 4.2 (4)

West Berkshire 9.5 (15), 6.9 (11)

Fareham 9.5 (11), 5.2 (6)

Redditch 9.4 (8), 17.6 (15)

Amber Valley 9.4 (12), 0.8 (1)

Gravesham 9.4 (10), 15.0 (16)

Portsmouth 9.3 (20), 7.4 (16)

Gloucester 9.3 (12), 8.5 (11)

South Hams 9.2 (8), 11.5 (10)

Mole Valley 9.2 (8), 14.9 (13)

Horsham 9.0 (13), 4.2 (6)

South Somerset 8.9 (15), 5.3 (9)

Folkestone and Hythe 8.8 (10), 5.3 (6)

Torbay 8.8 (12), 2.9 (4)

Maidstone 8.7 (15), 1.2 (2)

Babergh 8.7 (8), 7.6 (7)

Central Bedfordshire 8.7 (25), 7.6 (22)

Breckland 8.6 (12), 32.9 (46)

Hull 8.5 (22), 3.5 (9)

Bexley 8.5 (21), 12.9 (32)

Exeter 8.4 (11), 6.8 (9)

Rother 8.3 (8), 1.0 (1)

North Devon 8.2 (8), 4.1 (4)

South Cambridgeshire 8.2 (13), 7.5 (12)

East Hertfordshire 8.0 (12), 13.4 (20)

Wyre Forest 7.9 (8), 9.9 (10)

Hambleton 7.6 (7), 13.1 (12)

North East Lincolnshire 7.5 (12), 3.1 (5)

Richmondshire 7.4 (4), 3.7 (2)

Torridge 7.3 (5), 0.0 (0)

Ipswich 7.3 (10), 3.7 (5)

Canterbury 7.3 (12), 3.0 (5)

Hart 7.2 (7), 6.2 (6)

Somerset West and Taunton 7.1 (11), 0.6 (1)

East Lindsey 7.1 (10), 2.8 (4)

Derbyshire Dales 6.9 (5), 12.4 (9)

Medway 6.8 (19), 3.6 (10)

Cotswold 6.7 (6), 4.5 (4)

Aylesbury Vale 6.5 (13), 5.0 (10)

Sedgemoor 6.5 (8), 4.9 (6)

South Norfolk 6.4 (9), 10.6 (15)

Southampton 6.3 (16), 7.9 (20)

Basingstoke and Deane 6.2 (11), 5.1 (9)

Mid Devon 6.1 (5), 7.3 (6)

Eastleigh 6.0 (8), 3.0 (4)

Stroud 5.8 (7), 4.2 (5)

Mid Suffolk 5.8 (6), 9.6 (10)

Forest of Dean 5.8 (5), 3.5 (3)

Rochford 5.7 (5), 3.4 (3)

East Suffolk 5.6 (14), 3.6 (9)

Winchester 5.6 (7), 17.6 (22)

Crawley 5.3 (6), 7.1 (8)

Tonbridge and Malling 5.3 (7), 1.5 (2)

Teignbridge 5.2 (7), 3.0 (4)

Colchester 5.1 (10), 5.6 (11)

Rutland 5.0 (2), 15.0 (6)

Isle of Wight 4.9 (7), 2.1 (3)

Cornwall and Isles of Scilly 4.7 (27), 1.9 (11)

Maldon 4.6 (3), 4.6 (3)

Broadland 4.6 (6), 3.1 (4)

Dartford 4.4 (5), 8.0 (9)

Boston 4.3 (3), 5.7 (4)

Tewkesbury 4.2 (4), 9.5 (9)

King’s Lynn and West Norfolk 4.0 (6), 2.6 (4)

Braintree 3.9 (6), 3.3 (5)

Ashford 3.8 (5), 1.5 (2)

West Devon 3.6 (2), 0.0 (0)

Gosport 3.5 (3), 2.4 (2)

Harlow 3.4 (3), 4.6 (4)

South Holland 3.2 (3), 1.1 (1)

Copeland 2.9 (2), 5.9 (4)

Thanet 2.8 (4), 8.5 (12)

Huntingdonshire 2.8 (5), 5.6 (10)

Havant 2.4 (3), 2.4 (3)

Tendring 2.0 (3), 2.0 (3)

Fenland 2.0 (2), 2.0 (2)

North Norfolk 1.9 (2), 1.0 (1)

East Cambridgeshire 1.1 (1), 3.3 (3)


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